Strategy swings to $1.4B unrealized Bitcoin profit as BTC rallies
Thanks to the rebound in Bitcoin, Strategy's unrealized Bitcoin valuation loss has turned into a profit of $1.4 billion.
We considered entering based on the positive factors of improved performance due to the rebound in Bitcoin and the short-term upward trend. The current price is experiencing a correction near the resistance level ($113.74), and we need to monitor for pullbacks down to the support level ($89.21).
After a short-term surge, the stock is experiencing a correction near the resistance level of $113.74. I will take profits upon reaching the resistance level of $113.74, and if the support level of $89.21 is breached, I will cut losses.
RSI(14) is 68.8, moving averages are misaligned, trading volume is 2.65 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is +17.0%.
As past similar success cases, the keyword 'Bitcoin' overlaps with BTC (2026-07-06, return 16.9%) and MSTR (2026-08-25, return 13.0%), while VEEE (2026-07-16, return 451.7%), which has no direct similarity basis, serves as a reference case for top global performance. Additionally, in the pre-history of this stock, a volatility of +32.9% was observed on 2026-08-16.
The trade, which was initially forecasted to yield a return of 2.5%, recorded an actual result of 13.0%, resulting in an OVERHIT designation. The news of a $1.4 billion valuation gain due to the rebound in Bitcoin, along with Canaccord Genuity's upward revision of the target price ($175), contributed to additional positive factors. This allowed the stock to break through concerns of a correction near the resistance level ($113.74) with strong buying pressure, reaching 2.65 times the average trading volume over the past 20 days, and successfully maintaining a recent 7-day volatility increase of +17.0%.
In a phase where positive factors linked to Bitcoin prices are concentrated, rather than taking a conservative profit near the short-term resistance level, I will reflect flexibility in the next trade by allowing for the expansion of upward momentum accompanied by an increasing trend in trading volume and news of additional target price increases.