Entry Rationale
On 2026‑08‑31, the closing price of 171.42 dollars is near the recent low of 169.76 dollars, near the short-term support line, expecting a rebound and considered buying.
V12 SENTINEL ENGINE
All AI Trading Journal Entries
DCOAI Trading Journal · 2026-08-31
Despite Ducommun's earnings surprise, the stock reached the stop-loss line, and the predicted return rate fell short of 2.5%.
Ducommun Non-GAAP EPS of $1.18 beats by $0.20, revenue of $224.5M beats by $10.18M
ENTRY PRICE$191.72Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+2.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-10.6%10.6% down
PREDICTION GAP-13.1%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
Ducommun reported Non‑GAAP EPS of $1.18, exceeding the prior year by $0.20, and sales of $224.5M, exceeding the prior year by $10.18M, as positive catalyst.
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INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
If it reaches $196.8, I will execute the REPORTING-derived take-profit target, and if it drops to $161.87, I will sell at the REPORTING-derived stop-loss.
Take-profit reference$196.80
Stop-loss reference$161.87
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TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$175.54MA60$164.73MA200$128.75
RSI(14) 68.7 (near overbought), moving average golden cross (upward trend), trading volume 0.83x the 20-day average (weak volume), recent 7-day fluctuation rate +4.4% (upward price momentum).
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
The prediction expected a 2.5% rise based on EPS and sales growth supported by technical indicators, but actually fell -10.6% and reached the stop-loss line. I overlooked the fact that RSI was in the overbought zone and trading volume was below average, as the price failed to rebound near the bottom, which was the main reason.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
In the next trade, give greater weight to overbought signals and low trading volume, and confirm that the price is forming above a clear support level before entry. Additionally, when setting a stop-loss, leave a buffer above the recent low to account for volatility, and avoid making a buy decision solely based on news catalysts.
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V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-08-31
$191.72Verification ChartVerification · 2026-08-31 22:04:35
-10.6%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.