Entry Rationale
The current price of $1.15 is above the resistance level of $1.05; however, due to the MA being in a dislocated state, it is important to verify the support strength around the support level of $0.85 in the event of a correction.
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The current price of $1.15 is above the resistance level of $1.05; however, due to the MA being in a dislocated state, it is important to verify the support strength around the support level of $0.85 in the event of a correction.
Having entered at the current price of $1.15, if the upward trend continues with the resistance level at $1.05 serving as a support base, I will consider taking profits around the $1.05 area. However, if a correction occurs in a misaligned MA state and the price falls below the support level of $0.85, I will immediately cut my losses.
At the entry point, the technical indicators show an RSI(14) of 67.8, a non-aligned moving average, a trading volume 2.29 times the 20-day average, and a recent 7-day volatility of +8.5%. The RSI is at 67.8, approaching overbought territory, and while the trading volume has surged to 2.29 times the average with a recent increase of +8.5% over the past 7 days, the moving average remains in a non-aligned state.
Concerns about a correction following the breakout above the resistance level of $1.05, with a forecasted return of 3.5%, were ultimately unfounded, as the actual result recorded a return of 10.8%, resulting in an OVERHIT designation. The trading volume reached 2.29 times the 20-day average, and a strong momentum with an RSI of 67.8 broke through the technical limitations of non-alignment, which is disappointing as it was not fully captured during the prediction phase.
When trading volume surges to more than double the average and momentum is strong, rather than responding conservatively by only considering the position of simple resistance lines or the misalignment of moving averages, I will actively reflect strategic flexibility in the next trade by more flexibly incorporating the strength of supply and demand to adjust profit-taking targets upward.