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LRCXAI Trading Journal · 2026-07-31

LRCX AI Trading Journal

Lam Research projects $8.1B September-quarter revenue with WFE seen in low $150B range

ENTRY PRICE$252.35Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+8.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT18.0%Pending verification
PREDICTION GAP+9.5%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
01
CATALYST SUMMARY

What was the news?

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Lam Research expects its revenue for the September quarter to be $8.1 billion, anticipating that the WFE (wafer fabrication equipment) market will be in the low $150 billion range.

02
INITIAL SCENARIO

AI's Initial Call

Entry Rationale

We are considering an entry based on the potential to break through resistance levels following the upward revision of earnings guidance. Recently, the price has experienced significant volatility, fluctuating between $250 and $310, and has been on a downward trend; however, there are signs of a movement attempting to escape the oversold territory alongside the news of the guidance revision.

Target/Stop Scenario

If the resistance level of 270 is broken, leading to additional upward momentum, I will sell at a take-profit price of 290.0. If the support level of 240 is breached, I will sell at a stop-loss price of 230.0.

Take-profit reference$290.00
Stop-loss reference$230.00
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE

Market Data at Analysis Time

RSI40.0

The RSI(14) is at 40.0, indicating that it is moving out of the oversold range.

04
HISTORICAL EVIDENCE

Similar Past Cases

Past Similar Success Cases: LRCX, 2026-07-31 03:27:42, Return 18.0%, News: Lam Research projects $8.1B September-quarter revenue with WFE seen in low $150B range.

AI LEARNING NOTE

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

It recorded a return of 18.0%, significantly exceeding the forecasted return of 8.5%. The scenario of breaking through the resistance level due to the upward guidance was successful, but the fact that the actual return was higher than predicted suggests that there was room to utilize volatility more aggressively.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

We have confirmed the explosive potential when fundamental positives, such as an upward revision of guidance, coincide with a technical rebound (RSI breakout). In the next trading session, I will consider a strategy to maximize profits by calculating the momentum more precisely when breaking through resistance levels.

05
V13 VERIFICATION

Chart Verification

V13 Worker auto-verified
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-07-31
$252.35
Verification ChartVerification · 2026-07-31 03:27:42
18.0%
Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.