[CRWD]

CrowdStrike announced record-high performance linked to rising AI demand, causing its stock to surge. If I had bought, I would sell to realize profit when the price reaches the resistance level of 227.50, and I would cut losses when the price falls to the support level of 176.46 (based on REPORTING output values). The current price of 189.18 is above the 20‑day low support level of 176.46, and with an RSI of 32.7 indicating oversold conditions, we considered buying on the expectation of a rebound. Additionally, the moving averages are aligned in a bullish formation and trading volume is 1.09 times above average, leading us to expect an upward trend. RSI(14)=32.7 (oversold), moving averages are aligned in an uptrend, trading volume is 1.09 times the 20‑day average, and the 7‑day change rate is –14.6%. Compared to the projected return of 4.5%, the actual return of 11.5% significantly exceeded the target. The purchase near the oversold RSI and support level was accurate, but the upside potential to the resistance level was underestimated. Conversely, the target was set too low because the 7‑day volatility of –14.6% and the magnitude of the volume increase were not sufficiently reflected. In the upcoming trade, we will keep the oversold signal and price near the support level as a buy signal; however, taking into account news momentum and past sharp‑rise patterns, we will set the target price more aggressively and adjust the stop‑loss width if volatility expands. There is a pattern of sharp rises following past AI and security-related positive news announcements, such as +19.2% on 2026-07-29, +13.2% on 2026-07-26, +13.2% on 2026-07-24, and +10.4% on 2026-07-23. This provides grounds to expect a positive market reaction similar to this news.

CrowdStrike and Palo Alto have reached all-time highs following news of increased demand for AI-based cybersecurity tools after the annual Black Hat conference. If the conditions are met, I will take profits at the target price of $219.35, and if the support conditions break down, I will cut losses at the stop-loss price of $174.14. These take profit/stop loss reference values are derived from the REPORTING calculations. Following the security conference, I considered entering due to the positive news of increased demand for AI-based cybersecurity, along with a recent 7-day volatility of +19.5%, an RSI(14) of 62.2, and a confirmed upward alignment of moving averages. However, it is important to note that the trading volume is somewhat limited at 0.70 times the 20-day average. The RSI(14) is at 62.2, indicating upward pressure in the neutral zone between overbought and oversold conditions, while the moving averages remain in a bullish alignment. The trading volume is at 0.70 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility has recorded +19.5%. I entered based on the conference news, a short-term volatility of +19.5%, aligned moving averages, and an RSI(14) of 62.2, but the actual result was a FAILED judgment, recording a -10.8% return. It is disappointing that I did not adequately heed the low trading volume, which was only 0.70 times the 20-day average, and focused solely on the news momentum. In the future, we will enhance our criteria by more rigorously filtering not only positive news and aligned moving averages but also trading volume indicators (whether they fall short of the 20-day average) to confirm the actual supply and demand support for the trend before entering. In the historical data for this stock, a volatility pattern was observed with +19.2% on 2026-07-29, +13.2% on 2026-07-26, +13.2% on 2026-07-24, +10.4% on 2026-07-23, and -1.0% on 2026-07-22. Additionally, past success cases such as VEEE (451.7%), LRCX (346.8%), and AMD (333.8%) serve as reference cases for top performance in the region, despite lacking direct similarities.